Our Chip Strategy for FPL DGW19
The talk of the FPL town is the upcoming DGW19 and BGW18, where many pundits believe that suitable chip uses are essential to help FPL managers get over the line.
Chip Strategy for FPL DGW19 – Decision Tree
Firstly, there is this widely circulated decision tree by FPL Zhou.
RE: BGW18/DGW19 the main question is this:
What chips should I use? It would totally depend on your current team structure:
Here I will try simplify a strategy depending on what situation you are in.
— FPL Zh0u 🇲🇾 (@ZhouFPL) December 18, 2020
The thought process is logical, setting out nicely what to do depending on what you have AND want to use.
If WC1 is unused
Statistically, around 80% of the Top 5K managers have already used their 1st wildcard. If you are lucky (or smart) enough to still have your first wildcard, you are well-placed for GW18/19.
Use your wildcard on GW16 (which is the last available gameweek in any case) to set a team up for GW19, ie 15 playing players from the 10 teams with 2 fixtures.
Three players are must-haves at time of writing:
- Mo Salah (home games against Man Utd and Burnley) – the Egyptian cannot stop scoring, having found the net 5 times in the last 4 games.
- Bruno Fernandes (away games to Liverpool and Fulham) – the Portuguese is hardy, durable and consistent. He is first on United’s team sheet and is the architect of every meaningful United attack
- Tomas Soucek (home games to Burnley and WBA) – on paper the Hammers have the best fixtures and Soucek is the perfect enabler for other Premiums.
Barring some shocking results, this strategy should propel you ahead of your competition and you will still have your second wildcard and Triple Captain for the second half of the season.
Case for Pragmatism
Without the first wildcard, options are much limited.
We definitely will not use the “triple-chip” strategy here, ie WC on GW17, FH on BGW18 and BB on DGW19.
There are three reasons behind our pragmatism –
- Firstly, BGW18 actually offers few genuine high-scoring options and may turn out to be a drab GW. You should be fine with 7 players who are players who will be playing so probably not worth using any chip here.
Some key players from this round includes De Bruyne (MCI), Kane (TOT), Son (TOT), Grealish (AVL) and Calvert-Lewin (EVE), all whom are highly owned assets.
- Sheff Utd VS Newcastle
- Wolves VS Everton
- Man City VS Brighton
- Aston Villa VS Spurs
- Arsenal VS Palace
- Secondly, there will be 19 more gameweeks after DGW19, any over-utilisation of chips here will hamper your flexibility as the season enters its crucial stages around March/April.
- Thirdly, there will definitely be other DGWs later in the season. Three games are yet to be rescheduled and the Cup competitions will no doubt cause more fixtures to be reshuffled. Saving the wildcard and Bench Boost for those DGWs to come appears to be a safe option here.
Our One-Chip Strategy
We will be going for the one-chip strategy here. This should leave you with a second WC and two other chips for the rest of the season.
Free Hit DGW19
With a Free Hit, you should be able to field a strong XI with DGW fixtures, hence have 22 chances to score points on DGW19.
Likewise, the key players to target are as mentioned above (Salah | Bruno | Soucek) and to expand the list, we recommend Zouma (CHE), Robertson (LIV) and definitely one of either Ings (SOU) or Adams (SOU).
We will cover a possible Free Hit squad when the time is closer.
TC DGW19 and/or FH BGW18
If you are already able to field up to 8-9 players on DGW duties then you can save the Free Hit for either BGW18 or other gameweeks in the future.
Using the Triple Captain on a DGW player means that you technically have 3X 2 games to make a difference.
What is your strategy? Share your thoughts with us.
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