FF Physio is my name and statistics is my game. Some of my mates call me the stats man cos I like to look at statistics & head to head records when I pick my Fantasy Football team. Currently sitting in 5th spot in the overall Togga Perfect XI league, I’m looking to make up on lost ground and catch the boys right at the top, while looking precariously over my shoulders at our very own FF Titan who’s hit top form lately.
Top teams to pick
We have 2 this week, namely Everton and Tottenham.
Everton vs Burnley – The stats look bleak for Burnley fans making the trip to Goodison Park. Everton average 2.38 goals at home and let in an average of 0.75. On the other hand, Burnley score an average of 0.56 and concede an average of 1.88 away. Everton’s home record reads 11-4-1 while Burnley’s away record reads 0-4-12. I really expect nothing but a big win for the Toffees this weekend.
Tottenham vs Bournemouth – Spurs average 2.44 goals at home and they have only shipped a meager 8 goals at White Hart Lane the whole season! Bournemouth score an average of 1.13 goals but leak an average of 2.06 goals on average away from home. Spurs are on course to register 12 top flight home wins in a single season for the first time ever in their history and I can’t imagine the Cherries spoiling the party for them.
Top Defensive Picks
After going through all the stats & H2H records, my top picks in the goalkeeping & defence department include players from Everton, Tottenham & Stoke, while my secondary picks will include players from Chelsea & Crystal Palace.
- Joel Robles (Everton) – Williams is back to marshall the defence after his suspension. Everton are decent at home while Burnley don’t score that many away from Turf Moor.
- Hugo Lloris (Tottenham) – The league’s best defence would be hard to break down but Bournemouth are good going forward and Josh King is red hot at the moment, hence he’s behind Robles.
- Leighton Baines (Everton) – He looks good for a Clean Sheet & I expect him to rake up plenty of attacking points as well.
- Ben Davies (Tottenham) – Spurs are likely to keep a CS too but even if they don’t, I would still expect him to pick up plenty of points going forward given Bournemouth’s generally attacking and open play.
- Kyle Walker (Tottenham) – Same as Davies but in case he’s rested again, the red hot Kieran Trippier would in fact be my choice pick, ahead of Davies.
- Mason Holgate (Everton) – Good for a CS but he usually doesn’t get as many attacking points as Baines.
- Marcos Alonso (Chelsea) – I expect Man Utd to rotate their squad and give priority to the Europa League. Although I don’t expect Mourinho to throw the game away, he might be satisfied with a draw and concentrate on not losing instead of winning this game. With that, there is a chance Chelsea might get a CS at Old Trafford. And of course, he’s still the top performing defender in the game based on PPM.
- A Stoke defender. I’m quite indifferent between Cameron, Pieters or Shawcross. Stoke has a good chance of a CS against a Hull team still quite poor away but these guys usually don’t give you many attacking points.
- Patrick van Aanholt/Mamadou Sakho (Crystal Palace) – With Leicester being distracted by their Champions League ties, this is a good chance for Palace to get a win and a CS. They haven’t let in a single goal in their last 4 home games.
Top Attacking Picks
My top picks in midfield & the forward line consist of players from Tottenham & Everton. My secondary picks will be those from Crystal Palace. They are in fine form after their majestic win over Arsenal last week and they are playing a Leicester side very much distracted by their 2 legged Champions League tie. Apart from the above, I also have a few differential individual picks.
- Christian Eriksen (Tottenham) – I see him as the heartbeat of the team, the one who makes the team tick going forward. And he’s the second top performing midfielder in the game, just behind Hazard.
- Dele Alli (Tottenham) – I see Spurs swatting Bournemouth aside like they did to Watford last weekend and he has been directly involved in 14 goals in 13 league games already this calendar year. Talk about great form!
- Ross Barkley (Everton) – The man has 1 goal and 6 assists in his last 6 home games. He’s also the leading English player in terms of assists and chances created. I expect him to perform again this week.
- Wilfried Zaha/Andros Townsend (Crystal Palace)– These 2 guys have been in fine form of late but I’ll only take one of them in my team. Zaha has the slight edge over Townsend for me.
- Eden Hazard (Chelsea) – No games away at Old Trafford are easy but this man is the top performing midfielder & player at the moment (he just piped Sanchez to the honour recently). He’s red hot of late with 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games. It would take a brave man to omit him but I might just do it this week. But it’s interesting to note that he only has 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 away games against the current top 7, that’s why I’m thinking he might have a below average week this time round.
- Harry Kane (Tottenham) – My top man this week. This monster has 5 goals in his last 2 games against the Cherries. Suarez vs Norwich anyone?
- Romelu Lukaku (Everton) – 13 goals in his last 8 home games. Another monster!
- Troy Deeney (Watford) – 6 goals in his last 8 starts, 4 in his last 4 home games. And Swansea’s defence is like a leaking tap.
- Kun Aguero (Man City) – 10 goals in his last 10 games, another one in fine form. However, an away game against Southampton isn’t really a stroll in the park.
- Alexis Sanchez (Arsenal) – His form hasn’t been great of late but he’s still the top performing forward in the game. But if Boro are to have any chance of escaping the drop, they will need to be more adventurous and attack to pick up wins. And that will leave gaps at the back for Arsenal to exploit. I expect Sanchez to bounce back his week with a decent haul.